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Login: | Explaining level changesPremier A: Westbury David Lloyd Eurotaxis v Workout Harbourside 1 (Wed 28 Jan 2015)Match played between Roshan Bharos (home) and Antonio De La Torre (away).Match won by Roshan Bharos. Result: 9-11,11-6,12-10,14-12. Starting level for Roshan Bharos: 9,967, level confidence: 52%. Starting level for Antonio De La Torre: 7,142, level confidence: 46%. Roshan Bharos to win as he is currently playing 40% better than Antonio De La Torre. Roshan Bharos won 75% of the games and 54% of the points. This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%. This points result would be expected if he was better by around 18% (PAR scoring). These are weighted and combined to calculate that Roshan Bharos played 23% better than Antonio De La Torre in this match. As Roshan Bharos has played below his allowed range at 8,984, his level reduction is 2.5% before damping. On the assumption that Roshan Bharos would normally have been playing at level 9,624 (based on typical behaviour), Antonio De La Torre played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 4.8%. Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 2.1% and 4.1% respectively. Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Roshan Bharos changes to -1.9% and Antonio De La Torre changes to +4.1%. After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Roshan Bharos becomes -1% and for Antonio De La Torre becomes +1.9%. Given Roshan Bharos's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 17% has been applied to his level change. Given Antonio De La Torre's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 8.3% has been applied to his level change. Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Mixed Spring 2014/2015' so the adjustment for Roshan Bharos is -0.6% and for Antonio De La Torre is +1.3%. Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Roshan Bharos: 72%, Antonio De La Torre: 68%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Roshan Bharos: 67%, Antonio De La Torre: 64%. A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools. Final level for Roshan Bharos: 9,892, level confidence: 67%. Final level for Antonio De La Torre: 7,225, level confidence: 64%. Notes
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