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Login: | Explaining level changesDivision 3B: Bradley Stoke Squash Club B v Kingsdown (Wed 15 Jul 2015)Match played between Elliott Heighes (home) and Chris 'League' Adams (away).Match won by Elliott Heighes. Result: 9-3,9-7,9-2. Starting level for Elliott Heighes: 1,174, level confidence: 71%. Set manually. Starting level for Chris 'League' Adams: 707, level confidence: 77%. Set manually. Elliott Heighes to win as he is currently playing 66% better than Chris 'League' Adams. Elliott Heighes won all of the games and 69% of the points. This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more. This points result would be expected if he was better by around 51% (english scoring). These are weighted and combined to calculate that Elliott Heighes played 52% better than Chris 'League' Adams in this match. In this case, Elliott Heighes played at level 1,084 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Elliott Heighes would normally have been playing at level 1,091 (based on typical behaviour), Chris 'League' Adams played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 0.6%. Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 0.5% respectively. Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Elliott Heighes changes to 0% and Chris 'League' Adams changes to +0.5%. After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Elliott Heighes becomes 0% and for Chris 'League' Adams becomes +0.5%. Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Mixed Summer 2015' so the adjustment for Elliott Heighes is 0% and for Chris 'League' Adams is +0.3%. Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Elliott Heighes: 84%, Chris 'League' Adams: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Elliott Heighes: 81%, Chris 'League' Adams: 84%. A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools. Final level for Elliott Heighes: 1,172, level confidence: 81%. Final level for Chris 'League' Adams: 708, level confidence: 84%. Notes
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